Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 19 - 25.03.2012, Forecast on 26.03 - 01.04.2012, Carrington Rotations 2121, 2122 (04,62.03; 31,93.03.2012) SOLAR SUNSPOT ACTIVITY OF THE LAST PERIOD KEPT AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL. ESTIMATED, RATING, WEEKLY AVERAGE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNA- TIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE PERIOD WAS MADE W = 043+9/-8. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN CONSTANTLY THERE ARE FROM 4 TO 6 SMALL QUITE SUNSPOT GROUPS. NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AVERAGE. THE CALCULATED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT PERIOD W = 050+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A AVERAGE LEVEL AT 23.03 WHEN IN THE SMALL SUN- SPOT GROUP THAT CAME OUT FROM EAST LIMB OCCURENCED AVERAGE SOLAR FLARE, IN OTHER DAYS FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A LOW LEVEL. SOHO CORONOGRAPH HAVE REGISTRED 54 CORONAL MASS EJECTION WHICH THEM 5 WERE "PARTIAL HALO II" AND ONE - III. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- to tm te localization Class å(1-8A) áR RII/IV CME X-ray opt. J/m-2 23.03 1934 1940 >1944 S23E87L029 M1.0/ 3.0E-3 11445 DSF to te central part l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME 20.03 1211 1414 N33W30L179 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON AVERAGE AND LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK DURING THE LAST WEEK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED : ----------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end å end S end W end EE R Observatories CH + N55L114 N48L112 N38L122 N40L142 25.03 1 KP, SDO, SOHO.... CH + S35L062 S46L051 Ps S48L075 29.03 3 KP, SDO, SOHO.... CH - S18L048 S20L043 S24L048 S21L052 30.30 3 KP, SDO, SOHO.... R - solar rotations; KP - KITT PEAK solar observatory; EE - date of possible geomagnetic disturbation in the Earth's environment. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 23.03/91 UT THE EARTH IS IN + SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNE- TIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDERY + /- THE EARTH SHOULD PASS ON 29.03. -------------------------------------------------------------------- MARCH 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 MARCH Wus 058 074 062 086 074 065 084 F10.7 102 100 100 102 105 103 101 èbcg ÷1.8 B2.0 B2.3 - B3.3 B1.9 ÷2.2 GOES Sp 320 400 240 180 180 200 390 Nnew 2 1 3 2 1 IMF - - - - -/+ + + ACE Å>2 4.9å+8 9.3å+8 1.2å+9 7.4å+8 3.4E+6 1.3å+7 1.2å+7 GOES Nm% THULE Ap 8 4 4 6 6 4 4 áÒ Dst ëIïôï Amsc 11 8 8 11 8 12 8 IZMIRAN ----------------------------------------------------------------- THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL OF FLUX WAS OBSERVED 19 - 22.03. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT HIGH LEVEL IS NOT EX- PECTED. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS WERE QUITE AND UNSETTLED ALL PERIOD. NEXT WEEK GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE MOST PROBABLE QUIET AND UNSETTLED. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA OF NOAA SEC http://www.sec.noaa.gov, OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER – SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru