Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 18 - 24.06.2012, Forecast on 25.06 - 02.07.2012, Carrington Rotations 2124 2125 (25,42.05; 21,62.06.2012) SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WAS ON THE AVERAGE LEVEL, BUT AFTER 20.06 - ON THE LOW. WEEKLY, THE AVERAGE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYS- TEM FOR THE PERIOD WAS MADE W=019+21/-5. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN CONSTANTLY WERE PRESENT FROM 5 TO 1 SUNSPOT GROUP ONE OF WHICH SINCE WAS BIG, BUT JUNE 21 IT WENT FOR WEST LIMB. NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW AND AVERAGE. THE CALCULATED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK W=040+15/-15. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT LOW LEVEL 18 - 20 AND 23.06. IN OTHER DAYS - AT VERY LOW LEVEL. BY DATA OF SOHO AND STEREO CORONOGRAPHS FOR THE PERIOD IT WAS OBSERVED 23 CME. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X / opt. J/m-2 DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME 18.06 1422 1527 S21L005 08 c/p local. - central part localization -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK DURING THE LAST WEEK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end Å end S end W end EE R Observatories CH + N30L038 N25L024 N23L030 N27L043 20.06 2 KP, SDO, SOHO.. CH + S18L342 S23L334 S26L339 S20L346 26.06 1 KP, SDO, SOHO.. CH + N60L299 N58L277 N38L299 N45L317 27.06 3 KP, SDO, SOHO.. R - solar rotations; KP - KITT PEAK solar observatory; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbation in the Earth's environment. --------------------------------------------------------------------- AFTER 23.06/15 UT EARTH WAS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNE- TIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDERY -/ + EARTH SHOULD PASS 30.06. JUNE 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 JUNE Wus 066 064 029 013 013 013 024 F10.7 118 110 104 098 088 084 085 èbcg B3.6 ÷3.2 B2.9 ÷2.1 ÷1.1 ÷1.0 A6.8 GOES Sp 820 680 520 210 030 030 030 Nnew 1 1 IMF - - - - - -/+ + ACE Å>2 4.0å+7 1.2E+8 2.6E+8 3.2å+8 1.9å+8 1.0å+8 1.2E+8 GOES Nm% THULE Ap 15 3 5 3 5 4 4 áÒ Dst ëIOTO Amsc 13 9 8 11 7 8 7 IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL WAS OBSERVED AT 18.06/1405 UT - 24.06. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL IS EXPECTED 25 -27.06. LAST WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS WERE UNSETTLED AND QUIET. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov, OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru