HAPPY NEW YEAR 2014,
 YEAR OF SOLAR ACTIVITY MAXIMUM FOR SOLAR CYCLE XXIV 24!
  šHealth, success and fulfillment of all your desires!
šš  šš"But if you want to STARS, it will be on the way,
šššš you is not too late to climb on deck of the spaceship!"

      Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
                Highlights on 23 - 29.12.2013,
             Forecast on 30.12.2013 - 05.01.2014 ,
           Carrington Rotation 2145 (19,05.12.2013)

 SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN REMAINED AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL. 
WEEKLY,  THE AVERAGE OF SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM 
WAS MADE W=062+13/-09. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK CONSTANTLY OBSER-
VED 5 - 7 QUITE SUNSPOT GROUPS, ONE OF THEM WAS OF THE MIDDLE SIZE.

NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED THE AVERAGE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY. ESTIMA-
TED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER  IN 
THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W=060+30/-20.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL 23 AND 29.12 AND LOW LEVEL IN 
OTHER DAYS. DURING THE REPORTING PERIOD 3 EJECTA OF SMALL SOLAR FILA-
MENT. BY SOHO AND STEREO CORONOGRAPHS DATA THERE WERE OBSERVED 51 CME 
FROM WHICH ONE WAS "HALO" TYPE, ONE - THE "PARTIAL HALO III" TYPE AND 
THREE - "PARTIAL HALO II" TYPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------
FLARES  to   tm    te   c/p local. Class  E(1-8A)  AR   RII/IV  CME
                                  X / opt. J/m-2
23.12 0859 0806  0917 S21W03L004 M1.6/1N 4.5E-3 11928
29.12 0749 0756  0808 S18å01L223 í3.3/1N 1.1å-2 11936 III/2 V/2

 DSF     to      te   c/p local.  l in deg.   Fl   AR        CME
28.12 >1030   >2239   S50E30L198        6 
29.12  0104    0145   S26E42L172        9
29.12  0150    0225   S26E43L172        5                  
c/p local. - central part localization 
--------------------------------------------------------------------

NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THE LOW AND
AVERAGE LEVELS. 

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
--------------------------------------------------------------------
  sign N end   Å end   S end   W end     EE  R  G   Observatories
óH  +  N20L170 N18L167 S08L188 N00L207  02.01  5  G1  SDO, SOHO....
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation/
---------------------------------------------------------------------

AFTER 21/12 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC 
FIELDS. 26.12/19-28/03 UT THE SIGN OF MAGNETIC FIELD REPEATEDLY CHAN-
GED,  MAINLY SHOWING THE SIGN "-". THE FOLLOWING SECTORAL BOUNDARY +/- 
THE EARTH SHOULD PASS 13.01.

DECEMBER  23     24     25     26     27     28     29       DECEMBER
Wus      108    096    081    096    107    095    119
F10.7    136    128    123    125    131    135    137      
èbcg    B5.7   ÷5.3   B4.2   ÷3.7   ÷3.7   ÷4.8   ÷6.3      GOES
Sp       860    670    490    450    570    570    520 mvh   
N         2                    1      1             1     
IMF       +      +      +    +/-      -     -/+     +        áóå
Å>2   2.0å+6 2.0å+6 6.8å+5 5.5å+5 6.6å+5 7.2E+5 1.5E+6       GOES
Ie>2                                                    pfu  GOES 
Ap        1      2      7      2      1      2      4    nT  áÒ
Dst                                                      nT  KIOTO
Amsc      6      7      11     3      4      4      7    nT  IZMIRAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Å>2 - a fluency in (electrons/cm2-day-sr) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of a flux of electrons in geostationary 
orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 p.f.u.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL NO OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL NOT EXPECTED.

GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION VARIES FROM UNSETTLED TO QUIET ALL DAYS. 

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS AS A WHOLE ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED 
AND QUIET. HOWEVER ON 2.01 THE EARTH WILL PASS THE HIGH-SPEED STREAM OF 
THE SOLAR WIND FROM NEAREQUATORIAL CORONAL HOLE. GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBAN-
CE'S GROWTH TO LEVEL OF THE MINOR MAGNETIC STORM IS POSSIBLE (40%).



HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC            http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - 
SIDC, BELGIUM           http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, 
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA  http://www.izmiran.ru