Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
               Highlights on 12 - 18.05.2014,
                 Forecast on 19 - 26.05.2014,
          Carrington Rotation 2150 (04,62.05.2014)

 SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN CHANGED AT THE HIGH TO AVERAGE 
LEVELS. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM-
BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W=87+11/-09. ON THE VISIB-
LE SOLAR DISK CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 7-10 SUNSPOT GROUPS, TWO OF WHICH 
WERE THE MIDDLE SIZE.

 NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED THE MODERATE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVI-
TY. ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT 
NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W =
050+20/-20.

FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE L0W LEVEL. WITHIN THE PERIOD WERE OBSERVED  
6 SOLAR FILAMENT EJECTIONS. BY SOHO AND STEREO CORONOGRAPHS DATA THE-
RE WERE OBSERVED 37 CME, SIX OF WHICH WERE THE TYPE OF "PARTIAL HA-
LO II".
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FLARES  to   tm  te   c/p local. Class  E(1-8A)   AR   RII/IV   CME
                                X-ray/Ïp J/m-2
 DSF     to      te   c/p local.     l in deg.  Fl    AR     CME
12.05 >0752   >2325  N35E02L252        6                     
12.05 >0752   <2325  N01W43L297       11
12.05  1000    1122  S53E35L219       23 
13.02 >0820   <0000  N17W49L290       13 
14.05  0516    0737  S21E40L189       13
16.05 >0108   >1259  S17E26L159        6
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NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THE LOW AND THE AVERAGE LEVELS.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
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  sign N end   Å end   S end   W end      EE   R  G   Observatories
CH  +  N03L241 S01L236 S16L240 S14L239  16.05  1      SDO, SOHO, ...
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation; 
A-active geomagnetic condition.
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AFTER 13.05/16 UT THE EARTH  IS IN "+" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAGNE-
TIC FIELDS. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER -/+ THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON 
MAY, 19.

MAY       12     13     14     15     16     17     18       MAY
Wus      164    138    162    130    136    146    138
F10.7    163    159    163    152    139    134    128      
èbcg    B7.0   B6.4   ÷6.5   ÷5.8   ÷5.1   ÷5.0   B4.4       GOES
Sp      1140    880   1000    900    770    580    470  mvh   
N                       2      2      1      2      1     
IMF       -     -/+     +      +      +      +      + áóå
Å>2   5.2E+6 1.2å+7 1.3å+7 9.5å+6 3.1å+6 1.5å+6 1.7E+6       GOES
Ie>2                                                    pfu  GOES 
Ap        8      4      5      4      4      3      4    nT   áÒ
Dst                                                      nT  KIOTO
Amsc      9      7      9      8      7      6      10   nT  IZMIRAN
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Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluence e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits 
in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 pfu.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED.

The GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED UNSETTLED AND QUITE. 

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET.

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC            http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - 
SIDC, BELGIUM           http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, 
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA  http://www.izmiran.ru