Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 09 - 15.06.2014, Forecast on 16 - 23.06.2014, Carrington Rotation 2151 (31,83.05.2014) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN REMAINED AT THE HIGH LEVEL, AND THE LAST DAY OF PERIOD - THE AVERAGE. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VA- LUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W = 102+64/-54. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 7 - 11 SUNSPOTS GROUPS, TWO OF WHICH GREW TO CATEGORY OF AVERAGES. NEXT WEEK AVERAGE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. ES- TIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM- BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W=050 +20/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A HIGH LEVEL JUNE 10 AND 11, ON THE MIDDLE - 12-15.06, AND ON THE LOW - IN OTHER DAYS. FOR THE PERIOD 6 EJECTI- ONS OF SOLAR FILAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. BY DATA OF CORONOGRAPHS SOHO AND STEREO WERE OBSERVED 61 CME ONE OF WHICH WAS THE "GALO" TYPE, ONE - "PARTIAL GALO III", AND THREE - "PARTIAL GALO II". ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 10.06 1136 1142 1155 S15E80L154 X2.2/SF 4.7E-02 12087 II/1 CME 10.06 1236 1252 1317 S17E82L154 X1.5/1F 1.4E-01 12087 IV/2 11.06 0530 0543 0536 S12W35L261 M1.8/SN 3.1E-03 12080 11.06 0800 0809 0952 S14E68L154 M3.0/2B 1.7E-02 12087 11.06 0859 0906 >0913 S18E65L154 X1.0/SF 3.3E-02 12087 11.06 2053 2103 2120 S21E58L154 M3.9/SF 2.4E-02 12087 12.06 0414 0421 0432 S16E55L154 M2.0/SF 8.2E-03 12087 12.06 0923 0937 1005 S25W53L254 M1.8/1B 8.0E-03 12085 12.06 1014 1021 1052 S20E52L154 M2.7/1F 1.3E-02 12087 12.06 1803 1813 1831 S19E48L154 M1.3/SF 1.1E-02 12087 12.06 1956 2003 2014 N17E05L196 M1.1/SF 5.3E-04 12089 12.06 2101 2113 2124 S22E49L154 M1.0/SF 7.1E-03 12087 12.06 2134 2216 2324 S20W55L254 M3.1/1F 9.5E-02 12085 II/2 13.06 0744 0756 0818 S18E40L154 1N/M2.6 9.1E-03 12087 II/2 14.06 1923 1929 >1934 S12E89 M1.4/ 5.4E-03 15.06 1110 1139 >1150 S22W89L254 M1.1/ 1.8E-02 12085 15.06 2350 0001 >0017 S10E08L154 M1.0/ 1.1E-02 12087 DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME 09.06 A0136 A1229 S10E10L231 10 10.06 A1733 A0436 N28E66L162 21 11.06 0543 0639 N13E25L190 5 12089 13.06 1644 1829 S33E02L186 8 13.06 >1721 <0429 S41E08L180 11 14.06 >1416 <0719 S36W40L215 11 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND, IN SEPARATE DAYS, AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: -------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end Å end S end W end EE R G Observatories CH - N06L256 N01L249 S05L254 N02L259 12.06 1 SDO, SOHO, ... CH - S18L170 S39L175 S40L160 S30L152 14.06 1 SDO, SOHO, ... CH + N28L156 N25L152 N08L159 N16L161 18.06 1 SDO, SOHO, ... R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation; A-active geomagnetic condition. --------------------------------------------------------------------- AFTER 9.06/21 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER +/- THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON JUNE, 16. JUNE 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 JUNE Wus 152 149 176 196 276 159 080 F10.7 161 166 168 175 153 144 130 èbcg B6.6 B9.4 C1.0 C1.1 C1.1 C1.2 C1.1 GOES Sp 1510 1240 1420 1590 1800 1120 500 mvh N 1 1 3 2 IMF -/+ + + + + + + áóå Å>2 4.6E+4 1.7å+6 2.3å+6 6.4å+6 9.5å+6 7.5E+6 4.2E+5 GOES Ie>2 pfu GOES Ap 5 6 8 4 5 8 5 nT áÒ Dst nT KIOTO Amsc 9 11 13 9 11 13 9 nT IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov, OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru