Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 16 - 22.06.2014, Forecast on 23 - 30.06.2014, Carrington Rotation 2151, 2252 (31,83.05; 28,03.06.2014) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY REMAINED AT THE MIDDLE LEVEL. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNA- TIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W = 054+11/-15. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 5-7 SMALL SUNSPOTS GROUPS. NEXT WEEK MIDDLE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. ES- TIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM- BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W= 050+20/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A THE LOW LEVEL. FOR THE PERIOD 7 EJECTIONS OF SOLAR FILAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. BY DATA OF CORONOGRAPHS SOHO AND STEREO WERE OBSERVED 26 CME. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME 16.06 1759 1942 S36W28L149 5 17.06 >0102 <1454 S44E40L096 16 17.06 >0102 <1454 S26W48L184 15 18.06 1626 1722 S27E41L081 3 19.06 1630 1655 S01E24L085 24 12093 CME/387km/s 19.06 0519 1032 N18E01L108 14 21.06 0233 0514 N18W05L088 30 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND, IN SEPARATE DAYS, AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: -------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end Å end S end W end EE R G Observatories CH + N28L156 N25L152 N08L159 N16L161 18.06 1 SDO, SOHO, ... CH + N05L127 S01L124 S05L134 S03L137 20.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ... cH - N08L026 N08L025 S13L043 S11L048 27.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ... R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation; A-active geomagnetic condition. --------------------------------------------------------------------- AFTER 17.06/18 UT THE EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER -/+ THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON JUNE, 22. JUNE 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 JUNE Wus 081 087 108 108 075 075 095 F10.7 117 114 111 111 102 101 094 èbcg B7.0 B3.7 B4.0 B2.5 B2.9 B2.0 B1.6 GOES Sp 630 680 690 560 340 310 320 mvh N 2 1 IMF +/-/+ +/- - - - - - áóå Å>2 3.6E+5 1.7å+5 1.5å+5 7.0å+5 1.4å+7 3.4E+6 6.2E+6 GOES Ie>2 pfu GOES Ap 4 9 18 9 10 5 4 nT áÒ Dst nT KIOTO Amsc 10 12 20 14 12 7 8 nT IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS WERE ACTIVE 18.06, WHEN THE SUBSTORM OF IN- TENSITY OF G1 AND LASTING 6 HOURS WAS RECORDED. IN OTHER DAYS THE GEO- MAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov, OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru