Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 23 - 29.06.2014, Forecast on 30.06 - 06.07.2014, Carrington Rotation 2151, 2252 (31,83.05; 28,03.06.2014) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY REMAINED AT THE MIDDLE LEVEL. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNA- TIONAL SYSTEM WAS MADE W=043+24/-21. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 4 - 8 SMALL SUNSPOTS GROUPS. NEXT WEEK THE MIDDLE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM- BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W= 050+20/-20. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON A THE LOW LEVEL ALL DAYS, BUT 25 AND 27 JUNE THE LEVEL OF FLARE ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. FOR THE PERIOD 3 EJECTI- ONS OF SOLAR FILAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. BY DATA OF CORONOGRAPHS SOHO AND STEREO WERE OBSERVED 35 CME, FOUR OF WHICH WERE THE TYPE OF "PARTIAL HALO II". ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te c/p local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te c/p local. l in deg. Fl AR CME 24.06 >0044 <1252 S15W08L051 6 25.06 >0138 <1245 N15E20L010 9 25.06 >0138 <1245 N01E16L014 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON LOW AND, IN SEPARATE DAYS, AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: -------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end Å end S end W end EE R G Observatories CH - N08L026 N08L025 S13L043 S11L048 27.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ... CH - N08L003 S05L000 S12L001 S02L005 30.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ... CH - S40L344 S55L284 S70L324 S60L044 27.06 2 SDO, SOHO, ... R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation; A-active geomagnetic condition. --------------------------------------------------------------------- AFTER 26.06/03 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER +/- THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON JULY, 01. JUNE 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 JUNE Wus 064 037 052 072 078 089 112 F10.7 093 094 097 100 104 115 126 èbcg B1.6 B1.7 B1.8 B2.3 B4.6 B6.2 B6.8 GOES Sp 170 130 240 240 150 230 660 mvh N 1 1 3 3 3 IMF - - - -/+ + + + áóå Å>2 7.8E+6 1.6å+6 1.2å+6 9.4å+5 1.2å+6 1.0E+6 1.1E+6 GOES Ie>2 pfu GOES Ap 4 7 6 4 3 6 8 nT áÒ Dst nT KIOTO Amsc 8 9 10 8 10 12 9 nT IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED. ALL DAYS THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED. NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA OF NOAA SWPC http://www.sec.noaa.gov, OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - SIDC, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru