--------------------------------------------------------------------  
THE RELATIVE MONTHLY MEAN SUNSPOT NUMBER ON JULY 2014 HAS MADE 
                           Wjuly= 72.5, 
THAT GIVES FOR 60 MONTHS (2014, JANUARY) DEVELOPMENT CURRENT 24 
CYCLES OF SOLAR ACTIVITY THE SMOOTHED MONTHLY MEAN SUNSPOT NUMBER 
                           W*jan. = 77.3 
THE BEGINNING 24 CYCLES OF SOLAR ACTIVITY - I 2009 with W*=1.8
THE MOST PROBABLE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM OF THE CURRENT CYCLE-
                           II 2014
THE MOST PROBABLE HEIGHT OF THE MAXIMUM - Wmax = 79.5

THE INTERNATIONAL DAILY VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER FOR 2014, 
JULY ACCORDING DATA OF 65 SOLAR OBSERVATORIES HAS MADE 
      
1.. 97    6..134   11..104   16..  7   21.. 12   26.. 42   31.. 95
2..105    7..142í  12.. 86   17..  0m  22.. 28   27.. 59
3..121    8..132   13.. 62   18.. 11   23.. 47   28.. 79
4..124    9..117   14.. 45   19.. 25   24.. 45   29.. 99
5..140   10..116   15.. 15   20.. 25   25.. 46   30.. 88

THE MONTHLY MEAN OF OBSERVED RADIO FLUX OF THE 10 cm (2800 MHz ON 
2014, JULY                 Fjuly= 137.4

THE MONTHLY MEAN OF GEOMAGNETIC Ap-index ON 2014, JULY
                          Ap july= 4.5
Maximum of the current solar cycle continues to move slowly over 
time and, according to the dynamics of the solar sunspot groups 
during the first decade of the month, make it to February 2014, 
set a record of the the rising branch duration of the Wolf 
numbers reliable series.
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     Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
               Highlights on 28.07 - 03.08.2014,
                Forecast on 04 - 11.08.2014,
          Carrington Rotation 2153 (25,24.07.2014)
 
SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN WAS AT AVERAGE LEVEL ON JULY 
28, 30-31, ON THE HIGH - IN OTHER DAYS. ESTIMATED, WEEKLY  AVERA-
GE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYS-
TEM WAS MADE W = 093+14/-10. ON THE VISIBLE DISK OF THE SUN WERE 
CONSTANTLY OBSERVED 11 - 8 SMALL SUNSPOTS GROUPS.

NEXT WEEK THE MIDDLE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. 
ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUM-
BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM  FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED W = 
070+20/-20.

 FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON AT THE MIDDLE LEVEL AT JULY 31 AND AUGUST 1,  
AT THE HIGH - IN OTHER DAYS. FOR THE PERIOD 5 EJECTIONS OF SOLAR FI-
LAMENTS WERE OBSERVED. BY DATA OF CORONOGRAPHS SOHO AND STEREO WERE 
OBSERVED 29 CME - FOUR WERE THE TYPE OF "PARTIAL HALO II".

-------------------------------------------------------------------
FLARES  to   tm  te   c/p local. Class  E(1-8A)   AR   RII/IV   CME
                                X-ray/Ïp J/m-2
31.07 1101 1114  1121  S10E51L226 M2.5/ 1.7E-02 12130
01.08 1443 1448  1457  S09E55L226 M2.0/ 1.1E-02 12130
01.08 1755 1813  1848  S10E11L248 M1.5/ 3.5E-02 12127 II/2 IV/1 CME
                              
 DSF     to      te   c/p local.     l in deg.  Fl    AR     CME
28.07 0258    0335   N17E52L255       7
30.07 0422    0649   N13E21L260      31 
01.08 >0920   <2340  N20E06L248      12 
02.08 >0927   <2333  N13W24L233      18 
03.08  0301    0334  S19E41L188      12 
03.08 >0937   <2337  N05E25L203      15   
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NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED ON THE LOW AND, IN SEPARATE DAYS, 
AT THE AVERAGE LEVEL.

ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED:
--------------------------------------------------------------------
  sign N end   Å end   S end   W end      EE   R  G   Observatories
CH  +  N50L210 B35L188 N28L223 N35L228   06.08 1      SDO,SOHO....   
CH  +  S00L261 S05L256 S10L269 SO5L271   02.08 3      SDO,SOHO.... 
R - solar rotations; KP - KIT PEAK solar observatory;
EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment.
G - geoeffectivity in last solar rotation; 
A-active geomagnetic condition.
---------------------------------------------------------------------

AFTER 31.07/11 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG-
NETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDER +/- THE EARTH HAS TO PASS ON 
AUGUST, 10.

JULY      28      29    30     31     01     02     03       AUGUST
Wus      143     160   145    139    165    178    152
F10.7    132    142    152    156    168    156    152      
èbcg    B5.0   ÷5.1   ÷7.1   B6.7   ÷8.2   B7.7   ÷6.3       GOES
Sp       540    890    900    860    890    850    680  mvh   
N         1       2            1             2             
IMF     +/-      -      -    -/+      +      +      +        áóå
Å>2   2.7E+4 2.5å+4 2.8å+4 2.9å+4 2.5å+4 1.6E+5 5.9E+5       GOES
Ie>2                                                    pfu  GOES 
Ap        9      3      5      4      10     13     6   nT   áÒ
Dst                                                     nT   KéOTO
Amsc      13     7     8       8      10     16     10  nT   éúíéòáî
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Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluence e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV.
Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary orbits 
in days according to GOES 15 in (electrons/cm2-s-sr) for events
> 1000 pfu.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL WAS NOT OBSERVED.

THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT VERY HIGH 
LEVEL BE NOT EXPECTED.

ALL DAYS THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED.

NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED UNSETTLED AND QUIET.

HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA
OF NOAA SWPC            http://www.sec.noaa.gov,
OF THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTER - 
SIDC, BELGIUM           http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, 
OF THE IZMIRAN, RUSSIA  http://www.izmiran.ru