Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 19 - 25.06.2017, Forecast on 26.06 - 02.07.2017, Carrington Rotation 2192 (23,05.06.2017) Earth above the ecliptic (-0,2; 0,7) deg. (S35 - N35 is geoeffectiveness zone) SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY WAS ON THE MIDDLE LEVEL 20-21.06 AND LOW IN OTHER DAYS. THE ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE PERIOD IS W=016+5/-4 (Wn=026+7/-7). ON THE VISIBLE DISC OF THE SUN 2- 3 SMALL SUNSPOT GROUPS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT THE LOW AND VE- RY LOW LEVELS. THE ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W = 10+20/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT THE VERY LOW LEVEL. ONE SOLAR FILAMENT EJEC- TIONS OCCURRENCES THROUGH THE PERIOD. ACCORDING TO THE SOHO AND STE- REO CORONOGRAPHS DATA > 4 CMEs HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl Aï CME/to 21.06 >1722 >0446 S33E05L008 13 --------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BEAT THE LOW AND VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. óî + Pn N22L003 N18L015 N30L043 23.06 (2) SDO, SOHO... óî + N05L338 S10L325 S11L327 N02L340 28.06 2 SDO, SOHO... All CH are the family CH of south polar CH; the bay of polar CH - R2; Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 23.06/0630 UT THE EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY +/- EARTH SHOULD BE PASSED 0N 5.07. JUNE 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 JUNE Wus 026 034 035 023 022 028 020 F10.7 074 074 074 074 074 074 074 èbcg A5.8 A6.4 A5.9 á5.2 A5.1 A4.5 A4.6 GOES Sp 140 170 120 080 090 080 090 msh N 1 IMF - - - - -/+ + + DSCOVR Å>2 1.0å+8 1.2E+8 1.3E+8 6.6å+6 1.9å+7 1.1å+7 2.2å+6 GOES Ie>2 2734 2428 3097 811 673 446 213 pfu Ap 4 3 4 7 5 9 11 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 5 4 6 7 5 11 10 nô IZMIRAN ------------------------------------------------------------------ Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS OB- SERVED 19 - 21.06. THIS FLUENCE SUDDENLY WEAKEN IMMEDIATELY TWO OR- DERS PER DAY - A RARE PHENOMENON. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSTATIONARY ORBIT OF VERY HIGH LEVEL IS NOT EXPECTED. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS QUIET AND UNSETTLED. ON THE NEXT WEEK THE QUIET AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION BE EX- PECTED. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov