Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 02 - 08.04.2018, Forecast on 09 - 16.04.2018, Carrington Rotation 2002 (22.92.03.2018) Earth out of ecliptic (-3.7 - -3.3 deg. (S30 - N25 is ZONE OF geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN WAS ON VERY LOW LEVEL, THE VISIBLE DISK WAS SPOTLESS (60 DAYS ON THE CURRENT YEAR). THE ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATI- VE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE PERIOD W=000 (Wn= 000). NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL AND SUN IS EXPECTED SPOTLESS WITH HYGH LIKELY. LIKE- LY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W=010+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVELS ON PERIOD. NO EJECTA OF SOLAR FILAMENTS AND CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES FROM M1 CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to --------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. óî + N60L228 N42L288 N16L208 N12L188 31000 02.04 >3 SOHO,SDO... óî + N15L217 N12L223 S10L167 S05L160 31400 10.04 6 G0 SOHO,SDO... The last CH is conglomerate from 4 - 6 separate CH; Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 29.03/0090 UT EARTH IS IN "+" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY +/- THE EARTH MUST PASS 11.04. MARCH 26 27 28 29 30 31 01 APRIL Wus 000 000 000 000 011 012 000 F10.7 068 068 069 069 069 069 069 èbcg <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 á2.0 <á1.0 GOES Sp 000 000 000 000 010 010 000 msh N IMF ~/- ~/- -/~ -/+ - DSCOVR Å>2 3.4E+8 1.4E+9 2.3E+9 1.3å+9 4.6å+8 1.6å+8 1.0å+8 GOES Ie>2 8088 42354 43686 35131 14850 9268 3767 pfu Ap 11 8 1 4 4 7 5 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 12 7 2 6 5 7 7 nô IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAS BEGAN AT 16.03/0105 UT AND OBSERVED 16.03 - 4.04. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS EXPECTED 11 -16.04. GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS UNSETTLED AND QUIET. NEXT WEEK IN THE PERIOD FROM 10 TILL 12.04 GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION IS EXPECTED ACTIVE IN RESPONSE TO PASSING OF THE HIGH-SPEED STRE- AM BY THE EARTH FROM THE LARGE TRANS-EQUATORIAL CH EXTENDED ON HELIOLATITUDE. PROBABILITY OF MAGNETIC STORMS IS 60%. IN OTHER DAYS THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION SHOULD BE UNSETTLED AND QUIET. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov