Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 11 - 17.06.2018, Forecast on 18 - 25.06.2018, Carrington Rotation 2004 (16,45.05.2018) Earth out of ecliptic (-0.2 - -0.1) deg. (S25 - N25 is zone of geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. 11 JUNE THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS. THE ESTIMATED, MOST LI- KELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE PERIOD W=007+003/-007 (Wn= 012 +003/-012). ON THE VISIBLE DISC OF THE SUN, 1 SMALL AND QUITE SUNSPOT GROUPS. NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE VERY LEVEL. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W=010+10/-10. THE FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. ONE SOLAR FILA- MENT EJECTIONS AND 3 CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ------------------------------------------------------------------ FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to 14.06 1741 1911 S02E46L020 14 ------------------------------------------------------------------ NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. CH - S02L025 S20L060 S30L040 S04L020 12.06 R6 SOHO,STEREO.. CH + N45L352 N32L354 N06L332 N08L327 14300 17.06 R2 SOHO,STEREO.. Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 30.05/1800 UT EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY -/+ THE EARTH MUST PASS 21.06. JUNE 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 JUNE Wus 000 012 016 016 013 013 015 F10.7 070 070 071 072 071 071 071 èbcg á2.3 á2.6 á3.0 á2.7 á2.5 A2.1 A2.5 GOES Sp 000 010 060 030 010 010 020 msh N 1 IMF + + + +/- - - - DSCOVR Å>2 7.3E+7 5.0E+7 5.2E+7 2.0å+7 1.6å+7 2.1E+7 2.2E+7 GOES Ie>2 1842 1815 1544 1606 465 508 816 pfu Ap 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 4 4 6 5 4 3 5 nô IZMIRAN -------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BEGIN- NING AT 01/1610 UT AND HAVE OBSERVED 01 - 14.06. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS QUITE. THE NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMA- RILY QUITE AND UNSETTLED, BUT WITH STORMING PERIODS ON 18.09, DUE TO INFLUENCES FROM CH HSS. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov