Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 06 - 12.08.2018, Forecast on 13.07 - 20.08.2018, Carrington Rotation 2006 (09,9.07.2018) Earth out of ecliptic (-0.2 - +0.2) deg. (S25 - N25 is zone of geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL: THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS (131 DAYS IN CURRENT YEAR) ALL DAYS. ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR PERIOD W = 000 (Wn= 000). NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE VERY LOW LE- VELS. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W=010+10/-10. THE FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. NO FILAMENT EJECTION AND CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ------------------------------------------------------------------ FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to ------------------------------------------------------------------ NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: ------------------------------------------------------------------------ sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. CH - N08L315 S10L346 S15L321 S00L308 12.08 R2 SDO, ACE... CH - N21L266 S12L278 S15L273 N10L253 15.08 R1 SDO, ACE... CH + Pn N45L318 S15L321 S00L308 16.08 R1 SDO, ACE... Last two CH may be the parts of one. Sch - CH Square in Mm**2 (in square megameters) near the central meri- dian on http://sdowww.lmsal.com/suntoday/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomag. disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 10.08/1620 UT EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAG- NETIC FIELD HOWEVER THE WHOLE PERIOD THE SIGN OF THE SECTOR REPEATDLY CHANGED. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY -/+ THE EARTH MUST PASS 13.08. -------------------------------------------------------------------- AUGUST 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 AUGUST Wus 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 F10.7 069 070 070 070 070 067 068 èbcg á1.2 á1.2 á1.3 á1.1 á1.2 á1.1 á1.0 GOES Sp 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 msh N IMF + + + + +/- - - DSCOVR Å>2 2.2E+6 7.4E+5 6.0å+5 1.1E+6 1.5å+6 6.2å+5 5.5E+5 GOES Ie>2 background pfu Ap 6 9 4 4 3 11 5 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 4 9 5 4 4 15 7 nô IZMIRAN ------------------------------------------------------------------ Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES-15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAVEN'T BEEN OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS EXPECTED AFTER 15.08. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS QUITE AND UNSETTLED ALL DAYS. THE NEXT WEEK THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION IS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARILY QUITE AND UNSETTLED LEVELS. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov