Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 07 - 13.01.2019, Forecast on 14 - 21.01.2019, Carrington Rotation 2212, 2213 (20,5.12.2018; ) Earth out of ecliptic (-3.7 - -4.4) deg. (S25 - N25 is zone of geoeffectivness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING ACTIVITY OF THE SUN WAS AT THE VERY LOW LEVEL, THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS (8 SPOTLESS DAYS AT 2019). ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR PERIOD W=000 (Wn=000). NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN AT VERY LOW LE- VEL. LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR THE NEXT WEEK IS W= 010+10/-10. THE FLARE ACTIVITY WAS ON THE VERY LOW LEVEL. NO FILAMENT EJECTION AND FOUR CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVELS. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: ----------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Space Obser. CH - N02L101 S35L152 S45L142 S05L102 6.4% 15.1 R1 - SDO, SOHO... The characteristics of this CH do not imply its geoeffectiveness at mid-latitudes; Sch - CH Square in % solar hemisphere near the central meridian on https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomagnetic disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AFTER 02.01/1430 UT EARTH IS IN "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETARY MAGNE- TIC FIELD. NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY -/+ THE EARTH MUST PASS 24.01. --------------------------------------------------------------------- JANUARY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 JANUARY Wus 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 F10.7 072 072 072 070 068 070 069 èbcg á1.6 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 <á1.0 GOES Sp 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 msh N IMF - - - - - - - DSCOVR Å>2 1.1E+8 9.1E+7 5.5E+7 4.9å+7 1.6å+7 1.3E+7 2.0E+7 GOES Ie>2 2970 2650 1978 1227 978 259 444 pfu Ap 7 6 4 4 7 3 3 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 10 6 7 5 7 4 5 nô IZMIRAN ------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES-15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BEGAN 6.01 AND OBSERVED 6-10.01.2019. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS OR- BIT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS UNSETTLED AND QUITE. NEXT WEEK AT MID LATITUDES IS EXPECTED THE QUITE AND UNSETTLED HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov