Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 02 - 08.11.2020, Forecast on 09 - 16.11.2020, Carrington Rotation 2237(1,31.11.2020) Earth out of ecliptic (5.1 - 4.6) deg. (S25 - N30 is zone of geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED ON LOW AND MIDDLE LEVELS. ESTIMATED, MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE SUN- SPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR PERIOD W=16+8 /-9 (Wn=26+14/-15). ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISC 2 SUNSPOT GROUPS WERE OBSERVED, 1 SMALL, AND 1 REACHED MIDDLE SIZE AT 4-6.11. NEXT WEEK THE LEVEL OF SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WAS ON LOW LEVEL. LIKE- LY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR NEXT WEEK IS W = 020+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT LOW AND VERY LOW LEVEL. 28 SOLAR FLARE OF LOW X-RAY CLASS CLASS "C", 73-CLASS "B", AND 2 CORONAL MASS EJEC- TIONS (2, 8.11) HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l deg. Fl AR CME/to -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Sp/craft * - low geoeffectivity, the substorms with duration <6 h. only. Sch - CH area in % solar hemisphere near the central meridian on https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomagnetic disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- FROM 5.11/1350 UT, THE EARTH IS IN THE "-" SECTOR OF THE INTERPLANETA- RY MAGNETIC FIELD. THE FOLLOWING THE NEXT SECTOR BOUNDARY "-/+" IT CAN BE EXPECT 14.11. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- NOVEMBER 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 NOVEMBER Wus 011 015 018 028 035 037 040 F10.7 082 083 088 091 094 091 090 èbcg ÷2.2 ÷1.4 ÷2.3 ÷3.7 ÷2.5 ÷1.6 ÷1.6 GOES Sp 010 150 410 460 485 290 260 msh N 1 1 IMF + + + +/- - - - DSCOVR Å>2 1.8E+7 2.6å+7 3.9E+7 7.9E+7 2.2E+7 2.3E+7 3.3å+7 GOES Ie>2 603 637 955 1277 1277 967 980 pfu Ap 3 3 3 4 8 7 5 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 3 3 3 3 8 8 4 nô IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES-15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BEGUN 5.11/1250 AND OBSERVED 5 - 06.11. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS NOT EXPECTED. ALL DAYS QUITE AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION WAS OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE MOST PROBABLY QUIET AND UNSETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CON- DITION WILL BE OBSERVED. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov