Weekly Bulletin on Solar and Geomagnetic Activity Highlights on 07 - 13.06.2021, Forecast on 14 - 21.06.2021, Carrington Rotation 2244, 2245 (11,48.05; 07,69.06.2021) Earth out of ecliptic (-1.9 - -1.4) deg. (S32 - N32 is zone of geoeffectiveness) THE SUNSPOT-FORMING SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED ON LOW LEVEL AND 13.06 THE SUN WAS SPOTLESS (46 SPOTLESS DAY AT 2021). THE ES- TIMATED MOST LIKELY WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE SUNSPOT NUM- BER IN THE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR PERIOD IS W=15+17/ -15 (Wn=25+28/-25). ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK 4 SMALL SUNSPOT GROUPS WERE OBSERVED SIMULTANEOUSLY. NEXT WEEK SUNSPOT ACTIVITY WILL BE ON VERY LOW AND LOW LEVEL. WEEKLY AVERAGE VALUE OF THE RELATIVE SUNSPOT NUMBER IN THE IN- TERNATIONAL SYSTEM (old) FOR NEXT WEEK IS W=020+10/-10. FLARE ACTIVITY WAS AT LOW LEVELS. 6 SOLAR FLARE OF X-RAY "C" CLASS, 57 -"B" AND 5 CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS (8, 9.06) WAS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AT THE PERIOD. ------------------------------------------------------------------- FLARES >M1 X-RAY CLASSES to tm te local. Class E(1-8A) AR RII/IV CME X-ray/Ïp J/m-2 DSF to te localization l deg. Fl AR CME/to -------------------------------------------------------------------- NEXT WEEK THE FLARE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AT LOW AND VERY LOW LEVEL. ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK THE FOLLOWING CORONAL HOLES WERE OBSERVED: --------------------------------------------------------------------- sign N end E end S end W end Sch EE R G Sp/craft * - low geoeffectivity, the substorms with duration <6 h. only. Sch - CH area in % solar hemisphere near the central meridian on https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - no data; R - solar rotations; EE-date of possible geomagnetic disturbance in the Earth's environment. G(0-5)-geoeffectivity in last solar rotation on the middle latitudes. A-active geomagnetic condition. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 7/0940 -12.06/1230 UT THE EARTH IS IN THE "-" SECTOR OF THE INTER- PLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD. FOLLOWING SECTOR BOUNDARY "+/-" IT CAN BE EXPECT 09.06. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- MAY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 JUNE Wus 053 034 027 029 013 000 022 F10.7 081 080 079 073 077 078 069 èbcg ÷1.0 ÷1.5 ÷2.4 ÷1.1 á8.4 á7.7 á6.3 GOES Sp 170 090 030 020 010 000 140 msh N 1 1 1 IMF +/- - - - - -/+ + DSCOVR Å>2 1.3å+6 1.3E+6 1.6å+6 1.3E+6 1.3E+6 1.5E+6 1.4å+6 GOES Ie>2 223 - 149 151 165 112 189 pfu Ap 12 5 4 5 10 10 6 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 14 5 4 5 8 12 5 nô IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 - Daily Electron Fluency e/(cm2-ster-day) with E>2 MeV. Ie>2 - the maximum intensity of electron flux in geostationary or- bits in days according to GOES-15 in (electrons/cm2.s.sr) for events > 1000 pfu. THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV RECURRENT ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT NOT OBSERVED. NEXT WEEK THE GREATER THAN 2 MeV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS NOT EXPECTED. THE GREATER THAN 10 MeV PROTON FLUX REFLECTED A SLIGHT ENHANCE- MENT TO JAST OVER 1 PFU AT 09/1600 UT FROM THE CME THAT ERUPTED OFF FROM AROUND THE WEST LIMB. THE GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION REMAINED QUIET AND UNSETTLED. IN THE NEXT WEEK THE MOST PROBABLE IS EXPECTED A QUITE AND UN- SETTLED GEOMAGNETIC CONDITION. HIGHLIGHT AND FORECAST COMPOSED FROM DATA: NOAA SWPC, BOULDER, USA http://www.swpc.noaa.gov, THE SOLAR INFLUENCES DATA ANALYSIS CENTRE, SIDC, BRUSSELS, BELGIUM http://sidc.oma.be/index.php3, THE IZMIRAN, MOSCOW, TROITSK, RUSSIA http://www.izmiran.ru V. Ishkov