25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá òïóôá óòåäîåíåóñþîïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá óåîôñâòø 2022 Ç. WÁ×Ç. = 45.2 96.4n (n - × ÎÏ×ÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) þôï äá³ô äìñ 27 íåóñãá (2022, íáòô) òáú÷éôéñ ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþ- îïê áëôé÷îïóôé óçìáöåîîïå óòåäîåíåóñþîïå þéóìï ðñôåî W*ÍÁÒÔ= 41.3 68.9 - × ÎÏ×ÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ W*ÆÅ×.= 38.9 64.8 - × ÎÏ×ÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ ó 1 ÉÀÌÑ 2015 Ç. ãÅÎÔÒ × âÒÀÓÓÅÌÅ ÐÅÒÅÛ£Ì ÎÁ ÎÏ×ÕÀ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÕ ÐÏÄÓÞ£ÔÁ ÏÔÎÏ- ÓÉÔÅÌØÎÙÈ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ÐÑÔÅÎ É, ÐÒÁËÔÉÞÅÓËÉ, ×ÓÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ ÓÍÅÎÉÌÉÓØ ×Ï- ×Ó£Í ÐÒÏÎÕÍÅÒÏ×ÁÎÎÏÍ ÒÑÄÅ ÞÉÓÅÌ ÷ÏÌØÆÁ (ÓÍ. ÐÏ ÓÓÙÌËÅ). [åÖÅÄÎÅ×ÎÏÅ, ÓÒÅÄÎÅÍÅÓÑÞÎÏÅ É ÓÇÌÁÖÅÎÎÏÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÑ W × ÓÔÁÒÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ ~ ÂÌÉÚËÏÅ Ë ÉÓÔÉÎÎÏÍÕ ÍÏÖÎÏ ÐÏÌÕÞÉÔØ, ÕÍÎÏÖÁÑ ÎÁ ËÏÜÆÆÉÃÉÅÎÔ k=0.6] îáþáìï 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé - ñî÷áòø 2020 Ç., W*min = 1.3 (1.8Î) æáúá íéîéíõíá 25 ãéëìá óá - 2020 01 - 2021 10 ÷òåíñ íáëóéíõíá ôåëõýåçï 25 ãéëìá óá - éàîø 2024 Ç., W*max = 90-100 (150Î) ëïîåã 25 ãéëìá óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé (ôïþëá íéîéíõíá) - I - VI 2031 Ç. íåöäõîáòïäîïå åöåäîå÷îïå ïôîïóéôåìøîïå þéóìï óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî (× ÎÏ×ÏÊ ÓÉÓÔÅÍÅ) úá óåîôñâòø 2022 Ç. óïçìáóîï äáîîùí 69 óïìîåþîùè ïâóåò÷áôïòéê: 1.. 62m 6.. 75 11..129 16.. 92 21.. 83 26..134 2.. 64 7.. 97 12..141 17.. 85 22..106 27..109 3.. 69 8.. 97 13..117 18.. 73 23..131 28.. 86 4.. 72 9..102 14.. 91 19.. 71 24..150M 29.. 72 5.. 84 10..117 15..102 20.. 69 25..134 30.. 76 óòåäîåíåóñþîùê îáâìàäáåíùê ðïôïë òáäéïéúìõþåîéñ îá 10 ÓÍ (2800 MHz) úá óåîôñâòø 2022 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá íáòô 2022 Ç. FÓÅÎ. = 135.1 F*ÍÁÒÔ = èèè óòåäîåíåóñþîùê áÒ-éîäåëó úá óåîôñâòø 2022 Ç. é óçìáöåîîùê úá íáòô 2022 Ç. ðï äáîîùí çåïíáçîéôîïçï ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå áÒ ÓÅÎÔ.= 12.2 áÒ*ÍÁÒÔ = XXX ---------------------------------------------------------------- 25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íéîéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê, é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 26.09 - 01.10.2022 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 02 - 10.10.2022 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéê ïâïòïô 2262 (14,7.09.2022) úåíìñ ÷îå üëìéðôéëé: (-0.8 - -0.4) ÇÒÁÄ. (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S30 - N30) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá ïóôá÷áìáóø îá óòåäîåí õòï÷îå òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî B íåö- äõîáòïäîïê óéóôåíå úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 046+26/-12 (Wn= 076+44/-20). ÷éäéíùê äéóë óïìîãá ðòïèïäéìé äï 6 çòõðð ðñôåî, 1 âïìøûáñ é 1 óòåäîå- çï òáúíåòá, 4 âùìé ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåä- îåí, îéúëïí é, ÷ïúíïöîï, îá ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îå. óòåäîåå úá ðåòéïä úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî W=100+50/-50. ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá óòåäîåí é îéúëïí õòï÷îñè. ðñôø ÷óðùûåë òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá "í" (2 âïìøûéè, 91-ëìáóóá C", 5 ÷ùâòïóï÷ óïìîåþ- îùè ÷ïìïëïî é 33 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóï÷ ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 2 âùìB ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ), îáâìàäáìéóø úá ðåòéïä. ------------------------------------------------------------------ ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛËÉ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ) to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) áï RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 30.09 0346 0401 0651 N25E87L062 M1.0 7.0E-03 13112 30.09 1611 1622 1633 N25E87L062 M2.9 2.2E-02 13112 30.09 1730 1734 1745 N25E87L062 M1.3 8.9E-03 13112 01.10 1958 2010 2016 N17W35L158 M5.8/1B 3.0E-02 13110 CME 02.10 0208 0226 0221 N17W39l152 M8.7/1N 3.6E-02 13110 ÷ó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AR CME/to 27.09^ 2230 ? ? CME/27/0048 28.09^ 0230 ~N15E15L180 >5 13110 CME/0446 29.09 >0007 >1337 N56E07L 10 29.09 0348 0508 N63E06L 15 01.10 <1142 <1246 N12W16L152 19 C3.8 13113 CME ^A filament eruption was observed in the proximity of the trailer spots of Region 3110 in GONG H-Alpha imagery near 28/0230 UTC. There was also an eruption (~27/2230 UTC) and subsequent dimming (~28/0400 UTC) visible in SUVI 195 imagery *-×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø, âõäåô îá óòåäîåí, îéúëïí é, îá ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: --------------------------------------------------------------------- ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH - S20L206 S50L261 S85L216 S25L203 7.5% 26.09 3 MMâ SDO HINODE óî + N40L247 N30L242 N12L232 N25L217 3.6% 31.09 3 ííâ SDO HINODE óH + N18L176 N05L193 S08L117 S05L166 6.2% 01.10 1 VV, SDO HINODE * - ÎÉÚËÁÑ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ, ×ÏÚÍÏÖÎÙ ÔÏÌØËÏ ÓÕÂÂÕÒÉ Ó ÄÌÉÔ. <6 Þ. Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅ- ÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎ- ÃÁ; G(0-5)-ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏ- ÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ó 29.09/1210 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéôóñ ÷ "+" óåëôïòå íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîï- çï ðïìñ. ó 26.09/0850 UT úåíìñ îáèïäéìáóø(ÎÅÏÖÉÄÁÎÎÏ) ÷ "-" óåëôïòå. óìåäõàýáñ óåëôïòîáñ çòáîéãá "+/-" ïöéäáåôóñ 13.10. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- óåîôñâòø 26 27 28 29 30 01 ïëôñâòø Wus 120 110 072 056 174 100 F10.7 133 135 135 137 137 148 èbcg ÷8.4 ÷8.2 ÷8.4 ó1.0 C1.6 ó1.5 GOES Sp 720 650 650 980 490 970 msh N 1 2 1 IMF +/- - - -/+ + + DSCOVR Å>2 7.6å+7 1.2E+6 1.2E+6 1.1E+6 1.3E+6 1.5E+6 GOES Ie>2 2641 1256 120 133 129 157 pfu Ap 6 16 5 7 13 3 nô Dst nô KIOTO Amsc 7 14 6 6 8 2 nô IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Å>2 -ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ × e/(cm2-ster-day); Ie>2-ÍÁËÓÉÍÁÌØÎÁÑ ÉÎÔÅÎÓÉ×ÎÏÓÔØ ÐÏÔÏËÁ ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ GOES 15 × (electrons/cm2-s-sr) - ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >/=1000 pfu). Pr(>10 MeV) To-8/2230UT; max: 12/1345 UT - 6.75 pfu; max: 26/1640 UT - 2.64 pfu - ðòïäïìöáåôóñ... ÷ùóïëéê õòï÷åîø ðïôïëá ÷ùóïëïüîåòçéþîùè üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 íÜ÷ îá- þáìóñ 25.09/1235 UT é îáâìàäáìóñ 25-28.09. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷ùóïëéê õòï÷åîø ðïôïëá ÷ùóïëïüîåòçéþîùè üìåëô- òïîï÷ ó å>2 íÜ÷ ïöéäáåôóñ ðïóìå 1.10. çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõý³îîïê. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá âõäåô íåîñôøóñ ïô óìáâï- ÷ïúíõý³îîïê äï ÷ïúíõý³îîïê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru ÷.î. éÛËÏ×