25 ãéëì óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, ÷åô÷ø òïóôá: æáúá íáëóéíõíá ïâúïò óïóôïñîéñ óïìîåþîïê áëôé÷îïóôé, çåïüææåëôé÷îùè ñ÷ìåîéê é éè ÷ïúäåêóô÷éê îá ïëïìïúåíîïå ëïóíéþåóëïå ðòïóôòáîóô÷ï îá ðåòéïä 18.11.2024 - 24.11.2024 Ç. é ðòïçîïú îá 25.11.2024 - 02.12.2024 Ç. ëüòòéîçôïîï÷óëéê ïâïòïô 2291(13,18.11.2024) úåíìñ ÷îå ðìïóëïóôé óïìîåþîïçï üë÷áôïòá (BÏ: (+2.5 - +1.6) ÇÒÁÄ) (ÚÏÎÁ ÇÅÏÜÆÆÅËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ S28 - N32) ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø óïìîãá âùìá îá óòåäîåí é ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. òáóþ³ôîïå óòåäîåå úîáþåîéå íåöäõîáòïäîïçï ïôîïóéôåìøîïçï þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä óïóôá÷éìï W= 140+30/-31 (WÓ=93+20/-20). îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø 16 çòõðð ðñôåî (AR13889, AR13906 - óòåäîåê ðìïýáäé), éú îéè 12 îáèïäéìéóø ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ðñôîïïâòáúï÷áôåìøîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ îá óòåäîåí é ÷ùóïëïí õòï÷îñè. óòåäîåå ïöéäáåíïå úîáþåîéå þéóìá óïìîåþîùè ðñôåî úá ðåòéïä W=140+40/-40. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø âùìá îá ÷ùóïëïí, óòåäîåí é îéúëïí õòï÷îñè. úá ðåòéïä îáâìàäáìéóø 17 ÷óðùûåë òåîôçåîï÷óëïçï ëìáóóá M, 91 ÷óðùûëá ëìáóóá C, 3 ÷ùâòïóá óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî é 44 ëïòïîáìøîùè ÷ùâòïóá ÷åýåóô÷á, éú ëïôïòùè 4 âùìé ôéðá II (ÕÇÌÏ×ÁÑ ÛÉÒÉÎÁ 90-180 ÇÒÁÄ) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷óðùûëé âáììï÷ ïô í1 (É ÏÔÄÅÌØÎÙÅ ÚÎÁÞÉÍÙÅ ×ÓÐÙÛÅÞÎÙÅ ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ ÍÅÎØÛÅÇÏ ÂÁÌÌÁ): to tm te ËÏÏÒÄÉÎÁÔÙ ÂÁÌÌ å(1-8A) AO RII/IV CME/to ÒÅÎÔ/ÏÐ J/m-2 km/s 20241118 0513 0522 0527 S07E78L224 M1.0 8.0E-04 13901 20241118 0725 0732 0737 S07E77L224 M1.7/SF 6.4E-03 13901 20241118 0754 0757 0807 S08E75L224 M1.2/1N 3.3E-03 13901 20241118 1041 1058 1110 S06E74L224 M2.5/SF 8.9E-03 13901 20241118 1106 1112 1119 S10W55L344 M1.6 5.0E-03 13897 20241118 1119 1127 1144 S10W56L344 M1.5 2.3E-02 13897 II/2|344 CME/1200 20241118 1242 1253 1257 S06E73L224 M3.7 1.6E-02 13901 20241118 1743 1749 1758 S07E70L224 M1.8/1F 2.1E-03 13901 20241118 1845 1915 2031 S10E76L224 M2.0/SN 2.1E-03 13901 II/1|249 20241118 2042 2051 2054 S11W89L004 M1.1 5.2E-03 13889 20241118 2350 0000 0004 S11W89L004 M1.1 4.8E-03 13889 20241120 1911 1948 2004 S08W89L004 M1.1 4.9E-02 13889 20241122 1539 1546 1603 S08E73L164 M1.6/1N 5.6E-03 13905 20241122 2126 2215 2300 S18E74L157 M1.1/SF 3.1E-02 13906 20241123 1554 1607 1624 S05E03L224 M1.1/2N 2.2E-03 13901 20241123 1749 1810 1826 N13E89L139 M1.1 2.3E-02 13908 20241124 2011 2022 2031 N20E89 M1.1 8.4E-03 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ÷ùâòïóù óïìîåþîùè ÷ïìïëïî: Bó÷* to te localization l × ÇÒÁÄ. Fl AO CMEÔÉÐ/to 20241118 >1427 >0642 S43E03L285 9 20241121 0100 SE quadrant CME/0136 20241121 1136 SE limb CMEII/1224 * - ×ÙÂÒÏÓÙ ÓÏÌÎÅÞÎÙÈ ×ÏÌÏËÏÎ (DSF, EPL) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå ÷óðùûåþîáñ áëôé÷îïóôø ïöéäáåôóñ ÷ äéáðáúïîå ïô óòåäîåçï äï ÷ùóïëïçï õòï÷îñ. îá ÷éäéíïí äéóëå óïìîãá îáâìàäáìéóø çåïüææåëôé÷îùå ëïòïîáìøîùå äùòù ó ëïïòäéîáôáíé: ÚÎÁË N ËÏÎÅà å ËÏÎÅà S ËÏÎÅà W ËÏÎÅà Sch ïëð R G KA CH + N38L339 N19L321 N01L348 N05L353 2.9% 18-19.11 3 0 SDO, HINODE CH - S00L296 S10L283 S14L287 S01L297 0.8% 21-22.11 3 A SDO, HINODE CH - S08L265 S13L244 S21L262 S15L271 1.5% 23-24.11 1 - SDO, HINODE CH + N11L167 N03L162 N01L162 N03L173 0.5% 30-31.11 3 1 SDO, HINODE Sch - ÐÌÏÝÁÄØ ëä × % ÐÌÏÝÁÄÉ ×ÉÄÉÍÏÊ ÐÏÌÕÓÆÅÒÙ ×ÂÌÉÚÉ ÃÅÎÔÒÁÌØÎÏÇÏ ÍÅÒÉÄÉÁÎÁ ÐÏ https://www.solarmonitor.org/; n/d - ÎÅÔ ÄÁÎÎÙÈ; ïëð - ÄÁÔÁ ×ÅÒÏÑÔÎÏÇÏ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÇÏ ×ÏÚÍÕÝÅÎÉÑ × ïëð; R - ×ÏÚÒÁÓÔ × ÏÂÏÒÏÔÁÈ óÏÌÎÃÁ; G(0-5)- ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ×ÏÚÍÕÝ£ÎÎÏÓÔØ ÎÁ ÐÒÏÛÌÏÍ ÏÂÏÒÏÔÅ (ÓÒÅÄÎÉÅ ÛÉÒÏÔÙ); A - ×ÏÚÍÕ- Ý£ÎÎÁÑ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÁÑ ÏÂÓÔÁÎÏ×ËÁ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20.11/2140 UT úåíìñ ðåòåûìá ÷ "-" óåëôïò íåöðìáîåôîïçï íáçîéôîïçï ðïìñ. óìåäõàýåå ðòïèïöäåîéå óåëôïòîïê çòáîéãù "-/+" ïöéäáåôóñ 30-31 îïñâòñ. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- îïñâòø 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 îïñâòø Wus 118 109 113 148 170 156 164 F10.7 165 157 163 166 179 200 203 Xbcg C1.5 C1.3 C1.5 C1.7 C1.9 C1.7 C2.3 GOES Sp 730 610 650 520 640 655 1025 msh N 2 0 1 3 1 1 2 IMF sign + + + - - - - DSCOVR,ACE e>2 1.3E+7 1.3E+7 1.9E+6 1.3E+6 2.3E+6 1.6E+6 2.0E+6 GOES Ie>2 528 745 146 <100 180 134 174 pfu Ap 4 8 7 7 11 8 7 nT Dst nT KIOTO Amsc 4 9 5 9 12 8 8 nT IZMIRAN ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- IÅ>2 - ÐÉËÏ×ÙÊ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× Ó å>2 MeV × pfu (e/(cm2-sr-s)) × ÔÅÞÅÎÉÅ ÓÕÔÏË (ÓÏÂÙÔÉÑ Ó ÐÏÔÏËÏÍ >=1000 pfu); e>2 - ÎÁËÏÐÌÅÎÎÙÊ ÚÁ ÓÕÔËÉ ÐÏÔÏË ÜÌÅËÔÒÏÎÏ× ÎÁ ÇÅÏÓÔÁÃÉÏÎÁÒÎÙÈ ÏÒÂÉÔÁÈ ÐÏ ÄÁÎÎÙÍ ëá GOES × e/(cm2-sr-day). Pr>10 Mev: to 21.11/1825, tmax 22.11/0350, Ipmax 125 pfu, te 22.11/2305 Pr>100 Mev: to 21.11/1825, tmax 21.11/2010, Ipmax 7.47 pfu, te 22.11/2045 Pr>500 Mev: to 21.11/1825, tmax 21.11/1900, Ipmax 0.39 pfu, te 21.11/2300 îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ðïôïëï÷ üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV ÷ùûå õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu îå îáâìàäáìïóø. îá óìåäõàýåê îåäåìå îá çåïóéîèòïîîïê ïòâéôå ðòå÷ùûåîéñ õòï÷îñ 1000 pfu ðïôïëïí üìåëôòïîï÷ ó å>2 MeV îå ïöéäáåôóñ. ÷ ôåþåîéå îåäåìé çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá íåîñìáóø ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåîîïê. ÷ òåúõìøôáôå ÷ïúäåêóô÷éñ ÷ùóïëïóëïòïóôîùè ðïôïëï÷ ïô îéúëïûéòïôîùè ïôòéãáôåìøîùè ëïòïîáìøîùè äùò ÷ àöîïí ðïìõûáòéé îáâìàäáìéóø ïôäåìøîùå ëòáôëï÷òåíåîîùå ðåòéïäù çåïíáçîéôîùè ÷ïúíõýåîéê: 19 îïñâòñ - (G0*, 1500-1800, ÄÌÉÔ=3 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî; 21 îïñâòñ - (G0, 1800-2100, ÄÌÉÔ=3 Þ) ðï äáîîùí éúíéòáî; 22 îïñâòñ - (G0, 1500-1800, ÄÌÉÔ=3 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå é éúíéòáî; 24 îïñâòñ - (G0, 2100-0000, ÄÌÉÔ=3 Þ) ðï äáîîùí ãåîôòá ÷ âïõìäåòå, ãåîôòá ÷ ðïôóäáíå é éúíéòáî. * G0 - ÐÉËÏ×ÏÅ ÚÎÁÞÅÎÉÅ ÇÅÏÍÁÇÎÉÔÎÏÊ ÁËÔÉ×ÎÏÓÔÉ, ÓÏÏÔ×ÅÔÓÔ×ÕÀÝÅÅ Kp=4. îá óìåäõýåê îåäåìå çåïíáçîéôîáñ ïâóôáîï÷ëá ïöéäáåôóñ ïô óðïëïêîïê äï óìáâï÷ïúíõýåî- îïê. ÷ï ÷ôïòïê ðïìï÷éîå îåäåìé îå éóëìàþåîù ðåòéïäù çåïíáçîéôîùè ÷ïúíõýåîéê éú-úá ÷ùóïëïçï ÷óðùûåþîïçï ðïôåîãéáìá çåïüææåëôé÷îï òáóðïìïöåîîùè áëôé÷îùè ïâìáóôåê. ïâúïò é ðòïçîïú óïóôá÷ìåî ðï íáôåòéáìáí óìõöâù óïìîãá âïõìäåò, óûá http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ ãåîôòá óâïòá é ïâòáâïôëé óïìîåþîùè éîäåëóï÷, âòàóóåìø, âåìøçéñ http://sidc.oma.be/, éúíéòáî (ôòïéãë, òïóóéñ) http://www.izmiran.ru. ÷.î.éÛËÏ×, î.é.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×, í.î.ìÅÂÅÄÅ×